Following the surge in profitability reported by HSBC Bank Malta plc towards the end of February, it should not have come as a surprise that Bank of Valletta plc also reported a significant hike in profitability last week.

The 2023 annual financial statements of BOV show that the BOV Group generated a record level of profits during the year, amounting to €251.6 million pre-tax. This is €100 million above the adjusted pre-tax profit figures for 2022 when excluding the effect of the Deiulemar settlement.

In essence, the BOV Group has reported record levels of profits for two consecutive years when one excludes the major litigation settled in 2022. Prior to this, BOV had generated €175 million in pre-tax profits in 2017 but that was for a 15-month period when the bank had changed its financial year from September to December.

Meanwhile, in order to place the extent of the level of profits generated by BOV during 2023 in the context of the performance in prior years, it is also worth highlighting that in the past, BOV generated pre-tax profits in excess of €100 million on only six other occasions. Moreover, in each of these six years, BOV’s profits never exceeded €150 million. As such, the profits of €251.6 million are well and truly reflective of a bumper year largely brought about by the increase in interest rates by the European Central Bank between the second half of 2022 and the third quarter of 2023 as the deposit facility increased from minus 0.5% to 4%.

In fact, the main driver of the surge in profitability is the ‘net interest income’ –  the difference between the interest that banks receive from loans, investments and cash at the central bank and the interest that they pay on deposits and other liabilities. BOV’s net interest income jumped to €352.0 million in 2023 from €201.9 million in 2022.

An important key financial indicator across the banking sector is the net interest margin (NIM), which is the difference between the rate charged on loans and that paid on deposits, expressed as a percentage of interest-earning assets. BOV’s NIM climbed to 2.8% in Q4 2023 from 1.84% in Q4 2022, reflecting the beneficial impact of the rising interest-rate environment.

The largest portion of BOV’s interest income is generated from the loan book at over €200 million, followed by the income generated from balances with the central bank and other short-term financial instruments like Treasury Bills, which amounted to €85 million in 2023, and the interest income of almost €78 million from the bank’s investment portfolio.

The timing and pace of expected interest rate cuts by the ECB in the months and years ahead will naturally negatively affect the performance of the large majority of eurozone banks including that of BOV once these take place. However, with interest rates potentially unchanged at the 4% level for most of the first half of 2024, the performance of BOV this year should not be negatively impacted from the interest income aspect.

The bank ought to replicate the strategies of several other eurozone banks also by embarking on a share buy-back programme given the continued deep discount of the share price compared to the book value

In order to partially reduce the bank’s dependency on changes to the ECB interest rate to the overall interest income of the bank, BOV is consciously shifting some of its idle liquidity into its investment portfolio composed of bonds.

One of the key highlights within the 2023 annual financial statements is the additional investments of €785 million within the Treasury portfolio, with €200 million of these during the last quarter of the year. The investment portfolio has now grown to €5.3 billion compared to the liquidity held at the central bank of €2.35 billion.

The shift in these two line items over these past two financial years is rather remarkable as the investment portfolio has increased from €3.6 billion at the end of 2021 to €5.3 billion, while the liquidity held at the central bank dropped from €4.6 billion at the end of 2021 to €2.35 billion.

The largest income-generating asset remains the loan book which increased by €1 billion over the past two years to €6 billion. In fact, it is very positive to note that the loan to deposit ratio has now improved to above the 50% level once again – the highest level since 2014.

Over the last five financial years, BOV hardly distributed any dividends to shareholders. In financial year 2017 and in prior years, regular semi-annual dividends were distributed, with the dividend payout ratio ranging between 27.8% in 2017 (a 15-month financial period) and 46.6% in 2013.

In more recent years, BOV’s chairperson Gordon Cordina regularly emphasised that the aim of the bank is to distribute sustainable dividends to shareholders. Following the interim dividend paid in December 2023, a final net dividend of €0.0455 per share is being recommended, subject to regulatory approval as well as approval by shareholders at the upcoming annual general meeting. The total dividend for FY2023 would equate to a dividend payout ratio of 26% of the profits after tax generated by the bank and a net dividend yield of above 5% based on the current share price.

Apart from the weak profitability from 2018 onwards as the return on equity dropped below the 10% level, the lack of dividends has been the other main reason for the subdued share price performance despite the sharp upturn seen in 2023. However, despite the 75% increase in the share price in 2023, this is still well below the net asset value per share of €2.17 as at December 2023 at a time of surging profits as reflected by the return on equity jumping to 14% in 2023.

The price to net asset value or book value is one of the principle pricing multiples used across the international banking sector. BOV’s share price has been trading below its book value ever since 2017 and it is currently at a 34% discount to its historic NAV.

This phenomenon has also been evident in recent years across the eurozone banking sector. In fact, in a very recent article published in the Financial Times, it was reported that European banks have promised to distribute significant returns to shareholders (via cash dividends and also share buybacks) in order to address the valuation gap between European banks and their US peers.

Despite BOV’s ambitions to continue to grow in size and the capital requirements required to do so, the bank ought to replicate the strategies of several other eurozone banks also by embarking on a share buy-back programme given the continued deep discount of the share price compared to the book value.

Unfortunately, institutional shareholders and other large investors in Malta do not play an activist role which could instigate companies to bow to shareholder pressure when there are clear indications that this will be beneficial to all shareholders, especially in the light of the current circumstances across the capital market.

Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd, ‘Rizzo Farrugia’, is a member of the Malta Stock Exchange and licensed by the Malta Financial Services Authority. This report has been prepared in accordance with legal requirements. It has not been disclosed to the company/s herein mentioned before its publication. It is based on public information only and is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. The author and other relevant persons may not trade in the securities to which this report relates (other than executing unsolicited client orders) until such time as the recipients of this report have had a reasonable opportunity to act thereon. Rizzo Farrugia, its directors, the author of this report, other employees or Rizzo Farrugia on behalf of its clients, have holdings in the securities herein mentioned and may at any time make purchases and/or sales in them as principal or agent, and may also have other business relationships with the company/s. Stock markets are volatile and subject to fluctuations which cannot be reasonably foreseen. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Neither Rizzo Farrugia, nor any of its directors or employees accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part thereof and no representation or warranty is provided in respect of the reliability of the information contained in this report. 

© 2024 Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd. All rights reserved.

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