Iraq PM said to be ahead on eve of vote results

Initial results from Iraq's national election are likely to be released by today, Iraqi and UN officials said yesterday, as further signs emerged of a strong showing for Shi'ite Prime Minister Nuri al-Maliki.

The Iraqi National Alliance (INA), a largely Shi'ite group that is challenging Maliki's bid to win a second term, told a news conference that according to their informal tallies the Prime Minister was ahead in at least 10 of Iraq's 18 provinces.

A decisive victory by any political coalition is unlikely in an election Iraqis hope will bring a measure of stability after years of sectarian warfare as US troops prepare to pull out. Negotiations to form a new government could take months.

Iraq has been on edge since Sunday's vote, during which 39 people were killed in attacks, but electoral officials say they require at least another day to reach the 30 percent threshold needed to declare preliminary results.

Final results may require several more weeks.

"Tomorrow afternoon we will start publishing the preliminary election results on our screen. And we will continue to do that as we finish counting and checking the votes," said Faraj al-Haidari, Iraq's top electoral official.

Ad Melkert, the UN special representative to Iraq, earlier told a news conference the vote count was proceeding at a good pace. He said first results were likely by today.

"This is an honest process and that's why it is very important that the announcement of the preliminary results will be accepted by all," Mr Melkert said.

"I think it's fair to say the world has been impressed by the professional way that these elections have taken place."

The INA estimates were the latest indicator that Mr Maliki's State of Law coalition, running on a law-and-order platform, was well placed to grab a big share of the 325-seat Parliament.

There is no indication, though, that any bloc will win an outright majority and weeks of negotiations over a coalition government are likely to ensue.

Qusai Abdul-Wahab, an INA candidate, said State of Law was slightly ahead with 1.9 million votes in 11 provinces, while the INA had 1.8 million, according to their tally. Other counts have suggested the gap between the two is wider.

"Still remaining to be counted are Mosul, Kirkuk, Salahuddin, Diyala, along with Kurdistan and western provinces," Mr Abdul-Wahab said.

The provinces left out include Sunni Arab strongholds like Anbar, where support for Mr Maliki or the INA is unlikely to be strong.