HSBC Bank Malta plc commenced the financial reporting season last week when, on Tuesday, it published its 2019 financial statements.

As a result of the restructuring charge of €16 million announced on 18 November 2019, the financial statements were significantly impacted by this sizeable one-off item. In fact, while the reported pre-tax profit of €30.7 million represents a decline of 20 per cent, the adjusted profit before tax shows a 24 per cent increase to €45.3 million.

Essentially, the improved profit on an adjusted basis came about from the reduction in costs (-€3.67 million) and a lower level of ‘expected credit losses’ (-€3.1 million) which were referred to as impairments in the past. Meanwhile, the overall level of income was largely unchanged from one year to the next when excluding the fair value gain of €1.83 million on the equity stake in VISA.

HSBC Malta had announced in October 2019 its decision to close a number of branches and reduce headcount. The new strategic plan was aimed at increasing the bank’s focus on digital banking services and modernising its branch network while mitigating the long-term impact of negative interest rates on the bank’s profitability.

While the lower level of costs during the 2019 financial year resulted from various cost reductions in order to achieve a more efficient cost to income ratio following the deterioration in past years, a similar positive impact will show up in subsequent years following the termination of employment of the equivalent of 180 full-time employees.

In last week’s announcement, HSBC Malta explained the initial impact of the cost-savings from the retirement scheme will be visible in 2020 while the full annualised savings will be accounted for as from 2021. When questioned during the press conference on guidance on the amount that should be recognised as annual cost- savings from this major restructuring, given that it could well be the major factor for improved profitability in 2020 and 2021, HSBC Malta’s CEO Andrew Beane stated the bank does not provide “forward-looking statements”.

HSBC Malta should proactively issue forecasts on some key performance indicators similar to its parent company, and to some other equity issuers across the Maltese capital market. In fact, in its announcement also last week, HSBC Holdings plc indicated that it is targeting “more than $100 billion of gross risk-weighted asset reductions, a reduced cost base of USD31 billion or lower and a Group return on average tangible equity of 10 per cent to 12 per cent in 2022”.

HSBC Malta should proactively issue forecasts on some key performance indicators

Given the ‘low for longer’ interest rate environment which is a significant headwind for the entire banking industry, the provision of forecasts of some key performance indicators is very important for financial analysts and the entire investment community. This may help to improve investor sentiment towards HSBC Malta following the steep decline in the share price in recent years to its lowest level since mid-2003.

Meanwhile, since mid-October 2019, the equity dropped to below its reported net asset value (€1.304 per share as at the end of 2019) for the first time in several years. The various articles across the international media in recent weeks speculating on the extent of the restructuring plans of the HSBC Group worldwide and its impact on subsidiaries in certain European countries including Malta also contributed to the weakening sentiment.

One of the key statements made in last week’s announcement by HSBC Malta was the CEO’s explanation of the transformation of the bank in recent years which has “necessarily resulted in a business which is smaller but stronger”.

This is the result of the major de-risking exercise that took place over the years. The Maltese investment community must understand this was a focused strategy aimed at curtailing the bank’s operations also at a time of a very challenging operating environment. However, Mr Beane also emphasised that “this phase of our strategy is complete and, as we evidenced in 2019, the future focused HSBC model is strongly profitable, is producing dividends for shareholders and is protecting our stakeholders from the range of risks we face”.

It would be interesting to see whether HSBC Malta can begin to improve its income generation in the coming reporting periods or whether it is dependent on cost-saving actions for improved profitability and a higher return on equity compared to the adjusted 6.4 per cent level achieved in 2019.

Another interesting statement made by HSBC Malta was that its “conservative appetite for risk is unlikely to change until we see the promised improvements in supervisory standards take effect and a re-balancing of the economic model to one that can drive sustainable growth for the country at a more moderate level of risk”. This is a clear message from HSBC on the unfortunate developments that impacted Malta and its views for improved standards going forward.

Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd, ‘Rizzo Farrugia’, is a member of the Malta Stock Exchange and licensed by the Malta Financial Services Authority. This report has been prepared in accordance with legal requirements. It has not been disclosed to the company/s herein mentioned before its publication. It is based on public information only and is published solely for informational purposes and is not to be construed as a solicitation or an offer to buy or sell any securities or related financial instruments. The author and other relevant persons may not trade in the securities to which this report relates (other than executing unsolicited client orders) until such time as the recipients of this report have had a reasonable opportunity to act thereon. Rizzo Farrugia, its directors, the author of this report, other employees or Rizzo Farrugia on behalf of its clients, have holdings in the securities herein mentioned and may at any time make purchases and/or sales in them as principal or agent, and may also have other business relationships with the company/s. Stock markets are volatile and subject to fluctuations which cannot be reasonably foreseen. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Neither Rizzo Farrugia, nor any of its directors or employees accept any liability for any loss or damage arising out of the use of all or any part thereof and no representation or warranty is provided in respect of the reliability of the information contained in this report. 

© 2020 Rizzo, Farrugia & Co. (Stockbrokers) Ltd. All rights reserved.

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